Posted: November 5, 2014

Potential to Add Votes After Election Day

Several races for US Senate and Governor that are still looking too close to call, as we approach midnight, could turn on the number of late arriving absentee ballots and the number of provisional ballots. For comparison, we have prepared the accompanying chart of provisional ballots cast in 2010 (the most comparable midterm election) and 2012 (the most recent election, but with a higher turnout, not so valid for comparison), using data from the EAC voting surveys. Similar information for late-arriving absentee ballots was not readily available.

 

Of the races still close tonight, only the Kansas governor's race has a margin small enough that provisional ballots theoretically could make up (without including late-arriving absentee ballots).

 

• Total Provisional Ballots in 2010
• NORTH CAROLINA
  • PBs—15,694

 

• VIRGINIA
  • PBs— 1,659

 

• KANSAS
  • PBs— 18,087

 

• WISCONSIN
  • PBs—64

 

• CONNECTICUT
  • PBs—343

 

• ILLINOIS
  • PBs—N/A

 

• MICHIGAN
  • PBs—835

 

• Total Provisional Ballots in 2012
• NORTH CAROLINA
  • PBs—100

 

• VIRGINIA
  • PBs—134

 

• KANSAS
  • PBs— 105

 

• WISCONSIN
  • PBs—3,541

 

• CONNECTICUT
  • PBs—0

 

• ILLINOIS
  • PBs—110

 

• MICHIGAN
  • PBs—83

 

• Current Margins as of 11:50 p.m. Election Eve, 2014
• NORTH CAROLINA
  • Senate—52,175
  • Gubernatorial—N/A

 

• VIRGINIA
  • Senate—12,851
  • Gubernatorial—N/A

 

• KANSAS
  • Senate—57,848
  • Gubernatorial—14,234

 

• WISCONSIN
  • Senate—N/A
  • Gubernatorial—106,496

 

• CONNECTICUT
  • Senate—N/A
  • Gubernatorial—11,806

 

• ILLINOIS
  • Senate—322,738
  • Gubernatorial—144,053

 

• MICHIGAN
  • Senate—288,723
  • Gubernatorial—131,181